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XRP, Cardano, AAVE Price Analysis: 14 June

The last 12 hours have been favorable for all coins in the market. Even the total market capitalization was up by 8% at press time. Cardano was also boosted by the news of smart contracts now running

The post XRP, Cardano, AAVE Price Analysis: 14 June appeared first on AMBCrypto.

Bitcoin derivatives data shows pro traders ignored today’s $41K pump

Bitcoin price may have pumped 10% to $41,000 but derivatives indicators show top traders aren’t feeling so bullish.

Sometimes all Bitcoin (BTC) needs to pump 10% is a positive remark from someone like Elon Musk.

The Tesla CEO has been pointed to as the culprit for the recent downturn after the company’s May 12 announcement explaining that it would no longer accept Bitcoin payments due to environmental concerns. Musk followed up by saying that he was looking into other cryptocurrencies that required 99% less energy consumption. 

However, on June 13, the situation reversed as Musk reassured the public that Tesla did not sell any additional Bitcoin. The post also said that the electric-car producer would resume taking BTC payments as soon as its Bitcoin mining relied on a minimum of 50% clean energy.

In bear markets, top traders act with caution

While retail investors and algorithmic trading bots jump into action as soon as bullish or bearish signals and news flash, top traders tend to act more with more caution. Those who have been around the crypto markets long enough know that positive news might end up being ignored or severely downplayed in bear markets.

On the other hand, even potentially negative news seems to have little to no impact during bull runs. For example, on Sept. 26, 2020, Kucoin was hacked for $150 million. The following week, on Oct. 1, the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission charged BitMEX for operating an unregistered trading platform and violating Anti-Money Laundering regulations.

Two weeks later, police reportedly questioned the founder of OKEx, forcing the exchange to suspend crypto withdrawals. Had this series of negative news happened while Bitcoin was flat or in a bearish phase, the price would have undoubtedly have stalled during a bear market.

Bitcoin price at Coinbase in USD, Sept. 2020. Source: TradingView

As shown above, Bitcoin barely had any negative impact in late September and October 2020. In fact, by the end of November 2020, Bitcoin was up 74% in two months. This is the main reason why top traders tend to ignore positive news during bear markets and vice-versa.

The 3-month futures premium is neutral

A futures contract seller will usually demand a price premium to regular spot exchanges. This situation is not exclusive to crypto markets and happens in every derivatives market because in addition to the exchange liquidity risk, the seller is postponing settlement and this results in a higher price.

The 3-month futures premium (basis rate) usually trades at a 5% to 15% annualized premium in healthy markets. When futures are trading below the regular spot exchange price, it signals a short-term bearish sentiment.

Huobi 3-month Bitcoin futures basis. Source: Skew

As shown above, the future basis has been below 11% since May 20 and flirting with bearish territory on multiple occasions as it tested 5%. The current level indicates a neutral position from top traders.

The options skew is no longer signaling fear

The 25% delta skew compares similar call (buy) and put (sell) options side-by-side. It will turn positive when the protective put options premium is higher than similar risk call options.

The opposite holds when market makers are bullish and this causes the 25% delta skew indicator to enter the negative range.

Deribit Bitcoin options 25% delta skew. Source: laevitas.ch

The above chart confirms that top traders, including arbitrage desks and market markers, are currently uncomfortable with Bitcoin price as the neutral-to-bearish put options premium is higher. However, the current 7% positive skew is far from the 20% exaggerated fear seen in late May.

Derivatives markets show no evidence of top traders getting excited about the recent $40,000 hike. On the bright side, there is room for leverage buyers to mount positions. Stronger upswings usually occur when investors are least expecting, and the current scenario seems to be a perfect example.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Following massive BTC purchase announcement, MicroStrategy says it may sell up to $1B in stock

The firm said it intended to use the proceeds from the offering “for general corporate purposes, including the acquisition of Bitcoin.”

The same day business intelligence firm MicroStrategy announced it would use $488 million from the proceeds of a private offering sale to buy Bitcoin, the company said it may also sell up to $1 billion of its stock for the same reason.

In a Monday S-3 filing for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, MicroStrategy said it would be launching an “at the market” securities offering which would allow it to sell up to $1 billion of its Class A Common stock over time. The firm said it intended to use the proceeds from the offering “for general corporate purposes, including the acquisition of Bitcoin.”

“Bitcoin does not pay interest or other returns and so ability to generate a return on investment from the net proceeds from this offering will depend on whether there is appreciation in the value of Bitcoin following our purchases of Bitcoin with the net proceeds from this offering,” said the filing. “Future fluctuations in Bitcoin trading prices may result in our converting Bitcoin purchased with the net proceeds from this offering into cash with a value substantially below the net proceeds from this offering.”

Related: MicroStrategy could hold more than $4B in Bitcoin after latest private offering and crypto purchase

According to the SEC filing, MicroStrategy held 92,079 Bitcoin (BTC) — roughly $3.7 billion at the time of publication — as of June 4, with the company saying today it intended to purchase an additional $488 million in the cryptocurrency. The filing shows MicroStrategy purchased its existing holdings at an average BTC price of $24,450, meaning that the company has seen the value of its crypto increase by almost $1.5 billion.

Should the firm use the entirety of the $1 billion proceeds to invest in Bitcoin again, it would add roughly 25,000 coins to its coffers at the current value of $40,150. The price of the crypto asset has risen by more than 8.8% in the last 24 hours.

Algorand (ALGO) price strengthens as institutional investors back the project

Backing from institutional investors and a series of new partnerships could help ALGO break from its current range in the coming week.

Consolidation periods tend to follow strong rallies but they also present a good opportunity to survey the field and evaluate projects that have strong fundamentals.

One project that continues to gain traction in terms of price recovery and network adoption is Algorand (ALGO), a pure proof-of-stake (POS) blockchain network that has secured new partnerships and real-world use case applications, as well as support from multi-million-dollar funds in recent weeks.

Big funds invest in Algorand-based projects

Raising funds is one of the biggest challenges many projects face and in the last month the Algorand network announced that Arrington Capital, a digital asset manager, had pledged $100 million in funding meant to help accelerate additional development across all facets of the smart contract platform.

This development came on the heels of the June 2 announcement that Borderless Capital, a venture capital firm, had created a $25 million fund aimed at supporting Miami-based blockchain startups developing digital payment solutions on the Algorand network.

Related: Exodus Wallet raises almost $60M in crypto in regulated offering

New partnerships lure investors

A scroll through the Algorand Foundation Twitter feed shows a growing list of cryptocurrency projects across a variety of sectors that have joined up as part of the Algorand community to take advantage of the low fee, POS environment.

The nonfungible token (NFT) sector is showing some interest in the network following a partnership with Curate that will allow for the minting of NFTs as well as the release of a bridge by Curvegrid that will allow businesses to build NFT and blockchain technology into their business and consumer mobile applications.

Other recent examples of adoption include a partnership with the Bermuda-based MAPay healthcare payment solution, which will host its payment solution on Algorand blockchain in an effort to improve efficiency and reduce healthcare costs, as well as a partnership with Xfinite and Eros Now to create a blockchain-based content engagement platform for the 224 million registered users of Eros Now.

These new partnerships come after a busy year for the network which also included the integration of USD Coin (USDC) and Tether (USDT), the two largest stablecoins in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. 

The growing list of network partnerships and investments from players in traditional finance suggests that ALGO is well-positioned to see future growth as the blockchain sector sees continued adoption and the crypto market recovers from it recent sharp correction.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

All About Solana And Why It’s The Game-Changer Crypto Of The Year

All About Solana And Why It's The Game-Changer Crypto Of The Year

While no one can deny the massive influence of Bitcoin on the cryptocurrency and blockchain worlds, and no one can possibly refute the utility of the Ethereum blockchain, there are many other smaller players who are changing the landscape at breakneck speeds. One of these players that have emerged as a key competitor to becoming […]

MicroStrategy Is Ready To Splash Half A Billion Dollars On The Bitcoin Market

MicroStrategy Wants To Buy An Additional $600 Million Worth Of Bitcoin

Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy is gearing up to invest nearly half a billion dollars in bitcoin following the close of its offering as it pertains to the sales of senior secured notes. Earlier this month, the company announced plans to sell with a view to funding additional investment in Bitcoin. The press release revealing as much […]

Could both e-cash.org and bitcoin.org domains have both been registered by Satoshi?

One thing I have always found rather peculiar about the initial communications from Satoshi in his first mail to Wei Dai on 8/22/08 was that he refers to his project as „Electronic Cash” and then he later substitutes this to „Bitcoin” when publishing the white paper. I find this odd considering that he had already registered the domain bitcoin.org on 8/18/08, so he must have already had the idea in his head at the time of the email that it would be called Bitcoin. The other thing I noticed was that the domain e-cash.org was also registered anonymously less than a month prior on 7/20/08. What are the odds that somebody else just happened to buy up that domain right at the same time? Has anybody connected these 2 domains together before and is there any further information which could shine a light on the identify of Satoshi?
One other small point…in a bitcointalk post by Satoshi, he mentions that open sourced projects should use .org domains as opposed to .com. If Satoshi’s original email to Wei Dai reflects the initial name he was considering, he very possible would have registered e-cash.org.

Subcontractors and Builders Located in China’s Xiong’an New Area Are Being Paid in Digital Yuan 

Subcontractors and Builders Located in China's Xiong'an New Area Are Being Paid in Digital YuanXiong’an New Area, a state-level new area in Hebei, China, is seeing the use of onchain digital yuan payments, according to a circular issued by the Xiong’an government. The announcement details that Xiong’an subcontractors and builders are being paid using the central bank digital currency (CBDC) via the People’s Bank of China and the new […]

Ken Moelis: People Want BTC Like They Wanted Gold Two Centuries Ago

Ken Moelis is an investment banker who knows a thing or two about finance. In a recent interview, he likened the bitcoin craze to the California Gold Rush of 1848, and says he is also looking for a few crypto business opportunities himself. Ken Moelis: The Gold Rush Is Back, Only Now People Are Seeking

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